Introduction to Artificial Intelligence - Old Questions
Question Answer Details
10. After your yearly checkup, the doctor has bad news and good news. The bad news is that you tested positive for a serious disease, and the test is 99% accurate (i.e. the probability of testing positive given that you have the disease is 0.99, as is the probability of testing negative if you don’t have the disease). The good news is that this is a rare disease, striking only one in 10,000 people.
a. Why is it good news
that the disease is rare?
b.
What are the chances that you actually have the disease?